Thursday, September 30, 2004

Will third time really be the charm?

George Selkirk, the former general manager of the Washington Senators, stated in 1984, Washington DC, the nation's capital is "not a good place for baseball, there isn't any real industry. The people who want to come to games are congressmen and senators ... and they want free tickets."

Wednesday, September 22, 2004

Does your PC look like this

Caption below of note.

Sunday, September 19, 2004

Hockey Powers that be: too many concussions

Obviously, being sport # 7 in the States was not enough, hockey aiming for double digits.

Conspiracy theories at it again

Columbo's take?

She dreams of being a doctor...

Wait 'til the sex tape pops up...

Back from Europe

If you were wondering what happened to the barrage of blogs: I was out of town, in Europe.

Montreal is a great city and I would not want to live elsewhere really, but it is - next to London, Madrid or Barcelona - a village.

Good to be back, the winter is just around the corner, time to get the winter tires on.

Yay!

Sunday, September 05, 2004

The Top 25 Censored News Stories

Worst thing is I did not even read them... just thought it would be interesting to post.

===

The Top 25 CensoredNews StoriesMedia Democracy In Action9-4-4

Sonoma State University's student run media research group Project Censored announces the release of its annual publication, Censored 2005, a compilation of the year's 25 most significant news stories that were overlooked or under-reported by the country's major national news media, as well as chapters on the grass roots media democracy, media ownership maps, real news about US involvement in Palestine, Haiti, Iraq, and more.

With introduction by Greg Palast and the political cartoon commentary of Tom Tomorrow throughout, this year's book covers critical issues facing the American public this election year. In Chapter 1's list of top 25 stories focus on politics, economics, foreign policy, food and health, the environment, energy, domestic policy, and the military.
"We define censorship as interference with the free flow of information," states Peter Phillips, Director of the Project, "Corporate media in the United States is interested primarily in entertainment news to feed their bottom-line priorities. Very important news stories that should reach the American public often fall on the cutting room floor to be replaced by sex-scandals and celebrity updates."

The Sonoma State University research group is composed of nearly 200 faculty, students and community experts who review about 1000 story submissions for coverage, content, reliability of sources and national significance. The top 25 stories are submitted to a panel of judges who then rank them in order of importance. Current judges include, Norman Solomon, Michael Parenti, Cynthia McKinney, Howard Zinn, and 20 other national journalists, scholars and writers.

Censored 2005, now available in bookstores nationwide, can also be purchased on the project's website at www.projectcensored.org.

For more information, contact:
Project Censored
Trish Boreta
707-664-2500
censored@sonoma.edu


Top Most Censored News Stories

#1 Wealth Inequity in 21st Century Threatens Economy and Democracy
Multinational Monitor, May 2003, Vol. 24, No. 5
Title: "The Wealth Divide" (An interview with Edward Wolff)
Author: Robert Weissman
Buzzflash, March 26 and 19, 2004
Title: "A Buzzflash Interview, Parts I and II" (with David Cay Johnston)
Author: Mark Karlin
London Guardian, October 4, 2004
Title: "Every third person will be a slum dweller within 30 years, UN agency warns"
Author: John Vidal
Multinational Monitor, July/August, 2003
Title: "Grotesque Inequality"
Author: Robert Weissman

Wealth inequality increased dramatically in the United States in the late1990s. The top 5% is now capturing an increasingly greater portion of the pie while the bottom 95% is clearly losing ground, resulting in the rapidly vanishing middle class. This trend is the product of legislative policies carefully crafted and lobbied for by corporations and the ultra-wealthy over the past 25 years. America's economic trends have a global footprint, and today, the top 400 income earners in the U.S. make as much in a year as the entire population of the 20 poorest countries in Africa. A series of reports released in 2003 by the UN warn that further increases in the imbalance in wealth throughout the world will have catastrophic effects if left unchecked, such as the collapse of the entire global economy.


#2 Ashcroft vs. the Human Rights Law that Holds Corporations Accountable
One World.Net and Asheville Global Report, May 19, 2003
Title: "Ashcroft goes after 200-year-old Human Rights Law"
Author: Jim Lobe

Attorney General John Ashcroft is seeking to strike down one of the world's oldest human rights laws, the Alien Torts Claim Act (ATCA) which holds government leaders, corporations, and senior military officials liable for human rights abuses taking place in foreign countries. Organizations such as Human Rights Watch (HRW) vehemently oppose the removal of this law, as it is one of the few legal defenses victims of human rights violations can claim against powerful organizations such as governments or multinational corporations. By attempting to throw out this law, the Bush Administration is effectively opening the door for human rights abuses to continue under the veil of foreign relations diplomacy.

#3 Bush Administration Manipulates Science and Censors Scientists
The Nation, March 8, 2004
Title: "The Junk Science of George W. Bush"
Author: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Censorship News: The National Coalition Against Censorship Newsletter, Fall 2003, #91
Title: "Censoring Scientific Information"
Author: The National Coalition Against Censorship staff
Environment News Service and OneWorld.Net, February 20, 2004
Title: "Ranking Scientists Warn Bush Science Policy Lacks Integrity"
Author: Sunny Lewis
Office of U.S. Representative Henry A. Waxman, August 2003
Title: "Politics and Science in the Bush Administration"
Prepared by: Committee on Government Reform - Minority Staff
(Updated November 13, 2003

In Washington D.C. more than 60 of the nation's top scientists, including 20 Nobel laureates, medical experts, and former federal agency directors, issued a statement February 18, 2004 accusing the Bush Administration of deliberately distorting scientific results for political ends. They are calling for regulatory and legislative action to restore scientific integrity to federal policymaking. Under the current administration, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has blacklisted scientists who pose a threat to pro-business ideology, and many unqualified scientists with close industry ties have been appointed to advisory boards.

# 4 High Uranium Levels Found in Troops and Civilians
Uranium Medical Research Center, January 2003
Title: "UMRC's Preliminary Findings from Afghanistan and Operation Enduring Freedom" and "Afghan Field Trip #2 Report: Precision Destruction - Indiscriminate Effects"
Author: Tedd Weyman, UMRC Research Team
Awakened Woman, January 2004
Title: "Scientists Uncover Radioactive Trail in Afghanistan"
Author: Stephanie Hiller
Dissident Voice, March 2004
Title: "There Are No Words Radiation in Iraq equals 250,000 Nagasaki Bombs"
Author: Bob Nichols
New York Daily News, April 5, 2004
Title: "Poisoned?"
Author: Juan Gonzales
Information Clearing House, March 2004
Title: "International Criminal Tribunal for Afghanistan At Tokyo, The People Vs. George Bush"
Author: Professor Ms. Niloufer Bhagwat J.

Civilian populations in Afghanistan and Iraq and occupying troops have been contaminated with astounding levels of radioactive uranium as a result of post-9/11 United States' use of tons of uranium munitions. Four million pounds of radioactive uranium were dropped on Iraq in 2003 alone. Most American weapons (missiles, smart bombs, bullets, tank shells, cruise missiles, etc.) contain high amounts of uranium that on detonation, release a radioactive dust. Once ingested, these subatomic particles slice through DNA. With a half-life of 4.5 billion years, it is a permanent contaminant distributed throughout the environment.
Scientists from around the world testify to the huge increase in birth deformities and cancers wherever uranium munitions have been used. The effects of the U.S. deployment will be felt in all the neighboring countries in the Middle East and Asia, as well as in our returning troops.

#5 The Wholesale Giveaway of Our Natural Resources
In These Times, November 23, 2003
Title: "Liquidation of the Commons"
Author: Adam Werbach
High Country News, Vol. 35, No. 11, June 9, 2003
Title: "Giant Sequoias Could Get the Ax"
Author: Matt Weiser

The Bush Administration's environmental policies are destroying much of the environmental progress made over the past 30 years. Between the "Clean Skies Initiative," a recent policy that allows power plants to emit more than five times more mercury and twice as much sulfur dioxide, and the "Healthy Forests Initiative," which allows the wholesale liquidation of ancient forests by corporate timber interests under the guise of fire prevention, resource extraction and pollution is occurring at unprecedented rates.

#6 The Sale of Electoral Politics
In These Times, December 2003
Title: "Voting Machines Gone Wild"
Author: Mark Lewellen-Biddle
Independet/UK, October 13, 2003
Title: "All The President's Votes?"
Author: Andrew Gumbel
Democracy Now!, September 4, 2003
Title: "Will Bush Backers Manipulate Votes to Deliver GW Another Election?"
Reporter: Amy Goodman and the staff of Democracy Now!

Conflicts of interest exist between the largest suppliers of electronic voting machines in the United States and key leaders in the Republican Party. While the voting machines themselves present some technical issues, the political affiliations within the voting machine industry pose even more serious questions. The three major companies involved in implementing the new, often faulty, technology at voting stations throughout the country have strong ties to the Bush Administration, Republican leaders, and major defense contractors.
It must be noted that under the Help America Vote Act control over the electoral process has been taken away from local officials and placed in the hands of a very small number of for-profit corporations. In effect we are privatizing America's most public endeavor.
#7 Conservative Organization Drives Judicial Appointments
The American Prospect, Vol. 14, Issue 3, March 1, 2003
Title: " A Hostile Takeover: How the Federalist Society is Capturing the Federal Courts"
Author: Martin Garbus
Title: "Courts vs. Citizents"
Author: Jamin Raskin

In 2001 George W. Bush eliminated the longstanding influence of the American Bar Association (ABA) in the evaluation of the prospective federal judges. ABA's judicial ratings had long kept extremists from the right and left off the bench. In its place, Bush has been using the Federal Society for Law and Public Policy Studies-a national organization whose mission is to advance a conservative agenda by moving the country's legal system to the right.
One of the most important issues in the country is the control of one of the three branches of government, the judiciary. While Presidents and Congress-members get elected every few years, judicial appointments are for life, Our courts deal with nearly every aspect of life; work conditions and wages, schools, civil rights, affirmative action, crime and punishment, abortion and the environment, amongst others.

#8 Secrets of Cheney's Energy Task Force Come to Light
Judicial Watch, July 17, 2003
Title: "Cheney Energy Task Force Documents Feature Map of Iraqi Oilfields"
Author: Judicial Watch Staff
Foreign Policy in Focus, January 2004
Title: "Bush-Cheney Energy Strategy: Procuring the Rest of the World's Oil"
Author: Michael Klare

Cheney Energy Task Force documents turned over in the summer of 2003 by the Commerce Department as a result of the Freedom of Information Act lawsuit brought by Sierra Club and Judicial Watch contain maps of Iraqi oilfields, pipelines, refineries and terminals. The documents, dated March 2001, also contain plans of occupation and exploitation that predate September 11, confirming suspicions that the Bush Administration energy policy is driving U.S. military strategy.

#9 Widow Brings RICO Case Against U.S. Government for 9/11
Scoop.co.nz, November 2003 and December 2003
Title: "911 Victim's Wife Files RICO Case Against GW Bush"
Author: Philip J. Berg
Title: "Widow's Bush Treason Suit Vanishes"
Author: W. David Kubiak

Ellen Mariani became widowed when her husband Louis Neil Mariani perished in the collision between United Airlines flight 175 and the South Tower of the World Trade Center. In addition to her refusal of the government's million-dollar settlement offer, Mrs. Mariani has filed a 62 page complaint in federal district court charging that President Bush and officials: (1) had adequate foreknowledge of 911, yet failed to warn the country or attempt to prevent it; (2) have since been covering up the truth of that day; (3) have therefore abetted the murder of plaintiff's husband and violated the Constitution and multiple laws of the United States; and (4) are thus being sued under the Civil Racketeering, Influences, and Corrupt Organization (RICO) Act for Malfeasant conspiracy, obstruction of justice and wrongful death.

#10 New Nuke Plants: Taxpayers Support, Industry Profits
Nuclear Information and Resourse Service, November 17, 2003
Title: "Nuclear Energy Would Get $7.5 Billion in Tax Subsides, US Taxpayers Would Fund Nuclear Monitor Relapse If Energy Bill Passes"
Authors: Cindy Folkers and Michael Mariotte
WISE/NIRS Nuclear Monitor, August 2003
Title: "US Senate Passes Pro-Nuclear Energy Bill"
Authors: Cindy Folkers and Michael Mariotte

Senator Peter Domenici (R-NM), along with the Bush Administration, is looking to give the nuclear power industry a huge boost through the new Energy Policy Act. The Domenici-sponsored bill will give nuclear power plants credits costing taxpayers an estimated 7.5 billion dollars, to build six new privately owned, for-profit reactors across the country. Safety standards will be lowered and liability will be passed on to taxpayers. This is in addition to the $4 billion already provided for other nuclear energy programs.

#11 The Media Can Legally Lie
CMW Report, Spring 2003
Title: "Court Ruled That Media Can Legally Lie"
Author: Liane Casten
Organic Consumer Association, March 7, 2004
Title: "Florida Appeals Court Orders Akre-Wilson Must Pay Trial Costs for $24.3 Billion Fox Television; Couple Warns Journalists of Danger to Free Speech, Whistle Blower Protection"
Author: Al Krebs

In 2003, a Florida Court of Appeals ruled that there are no written rules against distorting news in the media. It agreed with an argument by Fox Television that, under the First Amendment, broadcasters have the right to lie or deliberately distort news reports on public airwaves. Under the current ruling, it is up to the public to discover whether or not they are being lied to.

#12 The Destabilization of Haiti
KPFA Radio-Flashpoints, April 1, 2004
Title: "Interview with Aristide's lawyer, Brian Concannon"
Reporter: Dennis Bernstein
globalresearch.ca, February 29, 2004
Title: "The destabilization of Haiti"
Author: Michel Chossudovsky
Dollars and Sense, September/October 2003
Title: "Still Up Against the Death Plan in Haiti"
Author: Tom Reeves
KPFA - Democracy Now!, March 17, 2004
Title: "Aristide talks with Democracy Now! About the leaders of the coup and US funding of the opposition in Haiti"
Reporter: Amy Goodman
Associated Press, March 16, 2004
Title: "Aristide Backers Left Out of Coalition"
Author: Ian James

On February 29, 2004, President Jean-Bertrand Aristide was forced into exile by American military. While U.S. officials were eventially forced to acknowledge the kidnapping allegations, they were quick to discredit them and deny responsibility. Meanwhile, the circumstances that led to the current situation in Haiti, as well as the history of U.S. involvement, are being ignored by U.S. officials and the mainstream media.

#13 Schwarzenegger Met with Enron's Ken Lay Before the California Recall
Common Dreams, August 17, 2003
Title: "Ahnuld, Ken Lay, George Bush, Dick Cheney, and Gray Davis"
Author: Jason Leopold
The London Observer, October 6, 2003
Title: "Arnold Unplugged-It's Hasta la Vista to $9 Billion"
Author: Greg Palast
San Francisco Chronicle and CommonDreams, October 11,2003
Title: "Schwarzenegger Electricity Plan Fuels Fears of Another Debacle"
Author: Zachary Coile
San Francisco Chronicle, May 26, 2001
Title: "Enron's Secret Bid to Save Deregulation: Private Meeting With Prominent Californians"
Authors: Christian Berthelsen, Scott Winokur, Chronicle Staff Writers

In 2002, while the California Governor and his deputy were attempting to re-regulate the energy industry (and get back the $9 billion that was defrauded from California taxpayers by Enron and other energy companies) Arnold Schwarzenegger was being groomed to overthrow Governor Davis in a recall - and cancel plans to re-regulate or to recoup the $9 billion. Back in May of 2001, in the midst of California's energy crisis, Schwarzenegger met with Enron's Ken Lay to discuss "fixing" California's energy crisis.

#14 New Bill Threatens Intellectual Freedom
Yale Daily News, November 6, 2003
Title: "New Bill threatens intellectual freedom in area studies"
Author: Benita Singh
Christian Science Monitor, March 11, 2004
Title: "Speaking in 'Approved' Tongues"
Author: Kimberly Chase

The International Studies in Higher Education Act of 2003 threatens academic freedom and classroom curriculum. Under this act, professors whose ideological principles do not support U.S. practices abroad can have their appointments terminated, any course curriculum containing criticism of U.S. foreign policy can be censored, and any course deemed anti-American can be barred from the classroom.

#15 US Develops Lethal New Bio-weapon Viruses
The New Scientist, October 29, 2003
Title: "US develops lethal new viruses"
Author: Debora MacKenzie

Scientists funded by the US government have developed a way to make pox viruses incredibly deadly. The stated goal of this research is to fight possible bio-terror attacks. The new virus kills all mice even if they have been given antiviral drugs along with a vaccine that would normally protect the victim from death.

# 16 Law Enforcement Agencies Spy on Innocent Citizens
Agenda, July--August 2003
Title: "Big Brother Gets Bigger--Domestic Spying & the Global Intelligence Working Group"
Author: Michelle J. Kinnucan
Community Alliance, April 2003
Title: "Police Infiltrate Local Groups"
Author: Mark Schlosberg
CovertAction Quarterly, Fall 2003
Title: "Denver Police Keeping Files On Peace Groups"
Author: Loring Wirbel
North Bay Progressive, Volume 2 # 8, October 2003
Title: "Fresno Peace group Infiltrated by Government Agent"
Author: Mike Rhodes
World Socialist Web Site, www.wsws.org, 1/10/04
Title: "Bush Administration Expands Police Spying Powers"
Author: Kate Randall

With little media comment, federal, state and local agencies have begun working as partners in the collection, analysis, and dissemination of intelligence information. Under the "Global Intelligence Working Group" (that oversees the new network) police departments receive increased funding for surveillance activity. This has resulted in the recent COINTELPRO-style instances of police infiltration of groups critical of government policies.

#17 U.S. Government Represses Labor Unions in Iraq in Quest for Business Privatization
The Progressive, December 2003
Title: "Saddam's labor laws live on"
Author: David Bacon
Left Turn, March/April 2004, v. 12
Title: "Ambitions of Empire: The Radical Reconstruction of Iraq's Economy"
Author: Antonia Juhasz

According to the Wall Street Journal (alone), the Bush Administration has "sweeping plans to remake Iraq's economy in the US image." The US is calling for the privatization of state-owned industries such as oil and water. But it has chosen not to overturn Sadaam-era edicts that outlaw unions. Every day the economic policies of occupying authorities create more hunger among Iraq's working people, transforming them into a pool of low-wage, semi-employed labor, desperate for jobs at any price.

#18 Media and Government Ignore Dwindling Oil Supplies
New Internationalist, October 31, 2003
Title: "Running on empty; Oil is disappearing fast"
Author: Adam Porter
Guardian Unlimited, December 2, 2003
Title: "Bottom of the Barrel"
Author: George Monbiot

Even industry executives affirm that oil is close to reaching, or may have already reached, its highest levels of production potential. Once the peak is reached, oil prices will start to rise (as they have every year since 2000). As oil decline accelerates, prices will rise even faster, with devastating effects to the US economy. Over the years, U.S. leaders, bowing to oil industry pressure, have not worked to develop viable alternatives (as they have done in Europe).

#19 Global Food Cartel Fast Becoming the World's Supermarket
Left Turn, August/September 2003
Title: "Concentration in the Agri-Food System"
Author: Hilary Mertaugh

Agribusiness and supermarket alliances are transforming the agri-food system into a powerful network of transnational corporations. They now have the power to control the world's food supply at every stage of food production. As fewer corporations control food production, traditional farming is becoming a high-tech form of serfdom. Lack of competition is leading to higher prices, lower choice and quality, and employee abuse.

#20 Extreme Weather Prompts New Warning from UN
UK Independent, July 2003
Title: "Extreme Weather Prompts Unprecedented Global Warming Alert"

In 2003, The UN's World Meteorological Organization reported unprecedented levels of extreme weather and climate occurrences all over the world. The report emphasized an alarming increase in global warming and pointed to the impact of human activity. The significance of this particular report is that the highly respected UN organization is known for its normally conservative predictions and statements.

#21 Forcing a World Market for GMOs
Globalinfo.org, 12/3/03
Title: "Agriculture: Biotech Links to Big Lenders Worry Farm Experts"
Author: Katherine Stapp
Inter Press Service (IPS) News Agency, May 14, 2003
Title: "U.S. WTO Dispute Could Bend Poor Nations to GMOs-Groups"
Author Emad Mekay
CMW Report, Summer 2003
Title: "A Rebuttal to the Tribune"
Author: Liane Casten
SF Weekly, June 2-8, 2004
Title: "Bioscience Warfare"
Author: Alison Pierce
The Bush Administration is trying to force Europe to drop trade barriers against genetically modified organisms (GMOs). Meanwhile, the agricultural biotechnology industry is focusing even more intently on developing countries, where regulations governing their use are generally more lax. At the same time, biotech promoters continue to suppress studies that show GMOs may have adverse effects on health and the environment.

#22 Exporting Censorship to Iraq
The American Prospect, Volume 14, Issue 9, October 1, 2003
Title: "Exporting Censorship to Iraq"
Author: Alex Gourevitch
Asheville Global Report, May 12, 2003
Title: "U.S Army Major Refuses Order to Seize Iraq TV Station"
Author: Charlie Thomas

After the fall of Saddam, Paul Bremer told journalists they were now "free to criticize whoever, or whatever, you want." But when negative critiques of U.S. policies appeared in the Iraqi media, Bremer quickly placed controls on its content. And rather than hiring a media outlet to run the Iraqi media (or simply allowing the news groups already there to continue reporting), the Pentagon chose a defense contractor to define the news.

#23 Brazil Opposes US-style FTAA agreements, But Provides Little Comfort for the Poor of South America
Globalinfo.org, November 15, 2003
Title: "Trade: US Moves to Squeeze FTAA Opponents"
Author: Emad Mekay
Left Turn, Mar/Apr, 2004
Title: "Lula's First Year"
Author: Brian Campbell

The Free Trade Area of the America's (FTAA) could become the biggest trading block in history, expanding NAFTA to 34 countries from Canada to the bottom of South America. This deal is unlikely to meet its January 2005 deadline, now that the second largest player in the negotiations, Brazil, is holding back. However, Brazilian President Lula has begun, of his own volition, to institute his own brand of FTAA austerity policies that are sure to drive the poor of the region deeper into poverty.

#24 Reinstating the Draft
Salon, November 3, 2003
Title: "Oiling up the Draft Machine?"
Author: Dave Lindorff
Buzzflash.com, November 11, 2003
Title: "Would a Second Bush Term Mean a Return to Conscription?'
Author: Maureen Farrell
War Times, October-November, 2003
Title: "Military Targets Latino Youth"
Author: Jorge Mariscal

The Selective Service System (SSS), the Bush Administration, and the Pentagon have been quietly moving to fill draft board vacancies nationwide in order to prepare for a military draft that could start as early as June 15, 2005. Several million dollars have been added to the 2004 SSS budget. Meanwhile, through an on-going militarization of public school systems, the Pentagon has begun efforts to double the number of Latinos in the U.S. military by 2006.

#25 Wal-Mart Brings Inequity and Low Prices to the World
Multinational Monitor, October 2003
Title: "Welcome to Wal-World"
Author: Andy Rowell

The vision of the international division of Wal-Mart is one where Wal-Mart becomes a global brand, just like McDonald's or Coca- Cola, monopolizing the global retail market. The next five or six years could see about 5,000 to 6,000 Wal-Mart stores outside of the United States. Wal-Mart is Americanizing retailing around the world and exercising an inordinate amount of economic power.

--
Peter Phillips Ph.D.
Sociology Department/Project Censored
Sonoma State University
1801 East Cotati Ave.
Rohnert Park, CA 94928
707-664-2588
http://www.projectcensored.org/

Friday, September 03, 2004

What year are we in?

Wine.com Raises Another $20 Million in Funding

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Online retailer Wine.com has secured another $20 million in venture capital funding and could go public as soon as next year, Chief Executive Officer George Garrick said on Friday.

The San Francisco-based company raised the money from Baker Capital in New York and will use the funds to pay down debt, upgrade its Web site and boost marketing, he said.
The company looked to East Coast-based firms because many venture capitalists in California have soured on the online wine business after pouring about $150 million into such failed ventures during the 1990s, Garrick said.
"They have a bad taste in their mouth about online wine," Garrick told Reuters in an interview. "We are the last man standing."

Wine.com itself rose from the ashes of failed online retailers such as the original Wine.com that flamed out during the dot-com demise. The "new" Wine.com opened for business in 2002 after buying the original Wine.com's assets, URL and customer list in bankruptcy.

Since then, the company has raised a total of $35 million in three rounds of venture capital funding, Garrick said.
He said the company would be profitable for the full-year in 2005 and double its current $35 million to $40 million in annual revenue in each of the next several years.

The company, which ships to consumers in 26 states that Garrick said account for 75 percent of U.S. retail wine consumption, has also started talking to bankers about going public next year.

Thursday, September 02, 2004

Encouraging Fruit Consumption?

http://www.ananova.com/news/story/sm_1086492.html

Wednesday, September 01, 2004

Making Money on Blogs

Calacanis' expanding blog network
By Frank Barnako, CBS.MarketWatch.comLast Update: 11:53 AM ET Sept. 1, 2004
E-mail it Print Discuss Alert Reprint RSS
WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) - There are lots of ways to make money with Weblogs.


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Henry Copeland's Blogads.com is helping politicians raise campaign funds. Nick Denton's Gawker Media is accumulating huge audiences with an editorial mix of sex, politics and gossip. Brian Stelter sold Cablenewser.com to a company that wanted more traffic for its media industry career subscription site. PVRBlog.com generates ad revenues and sales commissions off the interest in TIVOs (TIVO: news, chart, profile).
Jason Calacanis wants to do it the old fashioned way, with advertising. And he is making no small plans for his would-be new media empire. Launched eight months ago, Weblogs, Inc. is publishing almost 50 blogs covering subjects including telemedicine, Apple Computer (AAPL: news, chart, profile) digital music, and the Dallas Mavericks.
Calacanis, the former publisher of Silicon Alley Reporter, a print magazine which covered the heyday of the Internet in New York, said some of his blogs are generating as many as 100,000 page views a day. "For a trade magazine, only a few months old, it's huge," he said.
Weblogs' most successful product is Engadget, concentrating on consumer electronics and tech products. It is written and edited by Peter Rojas, assisted by seven other contributors. Calacanis says the use of a "blog team" is critical for a consumer-focused publishing venture.
"Blogging is in large part showing up," he said. Readers make judgments based on a publications' appearance and editorial consistency. Does it get published every day? "Step one, you have to be there, and there everyday," Calacanis said. That means posting dozens of messages a day. Applicants to write for his Unofficial Apple Weblog are being told they must post news dozens of times every month
The publisher says Engadget's staffers are sharing more than $4,000 a month thanks to advertising revenues. "It's doing phenomenal, we have sold months and months of advertising."
The general appeal of Weblogs, for both readers and advertisers, is the targeted nature of their content. Finding customers for social networking services or software or Wifi and Bluetooth technologies is unaffordable if you have to use mass media. But a business-oriented blog, can deliver a readership rich with prospects, at low cost.
More common are Weblogs whose writers splitting a few hundred dollars a month with the company. "Magazine design" and "Online finance" are not mass appeal subjects. But the Santa Monica, Ca.-based Calacanis has said he hopes to have hundreds of such micro e-zines. He expects to launch another two dozen more trade blogs before the end of the year.
Weblogs Inc. also is prepared to offer software and hosting services. It will offer Webloggers the option to "rent" blogging software, similar to Six Apart Ltd., developer of Movable Type and TypePad. Another option would offer the software at no cost while Calacanis' firm sells advertising, similar to Google's (GOOG: news, chart, profile) AdSense service.

Is the market overvalued?

Morningstar.comThe Nasdaq Isn't a Sell--It Just Looks That WayWednesday September 1, 7:00 am ET By Mark A. Sellers


There's been a lot of talk lately about the valuation of growth and technology stocks. In recent months, I have read numerous opinion pieces on this subject by journalists, academics, pundits, and money managers. All of these articles and papers came to a similar conclusion: Growth stocks, and technology stocks in particular, are dramatically overvalued. One money manager even claimed that the Nasdaq 100 is 60% overvalued. Many of these pundits came to this conclusion by looking at the aggregate P/E ratio of the Nasdaq 100, an index that includes 100 of the largest stocks listed on the Nasdaq exchange.

But there's a problem with these arguments: None of them has looked at the valuations of individual companies within the index. They all use aggregate data, such as the average P/E or P/B ratio of the stocks within the index. Even writers who claim to be disciples of Warren Buffett--in other words, those who think stocks should be valued based on the discounted value of future free cash flows--base their arguments on aggregate valuation shortcuts rather than discounted cash-flow (DCF) models for individual companies.

The way I see it, an index is just a large group of stocks that can be valued individually, and then summed up to produce an aggregate valuation. Skipping the first part (valuing the individual stocks within the index) results in a simplistic conclusion that may not reflect economic reality.

People use valuation shortcuts because creating DCF models on all the companies within an index would be a monumental task. It takes a whole staff of analysts to do it, and frankly, few research shops base their published valuations on DCF models. So as a shortcut, most people (including most analysts) use the P/E ratio and PEG ratio. Unfortunately, like many things in life, the simplest method of doing something is not always the best.
Morningstar's Valuation ModelMorningstar has 75 stock analysts, and all of our analysts use the same discounted cash-flow model developed in-house to come up with fair value estimates for individual companies. These DCF models all use the same basic inputs (such as the risk-free Treasury bond rate, inflation rate, market risk premium, etc.) and are completed by our analysts, who are experts in one or two industries.

We take the economic effect of stock-option issuance into account when we value companies--something the P/E ratio doesn't do. Most importantly, our analysts have no conflicts of interest, so they have no reason to be overly bullish on any company we cover. In fact, they have an incentive not to be too bullish, lest they get angry letters from our customers when a stock crashes.

Thus, we can get an unbiased valuation for an index such as the Nasdaq 100 by looking at the valuations of the stocks within that index, as estimated from our analysts' individual DCF models.

Morningstar analysts cover 93 of the stocks on the Nasdaq 100 Index. That means, using our fair value estimate for each stock, I can come up with an aggregate valuation for the Nasdaq 100 Index using the DCF models for each individual company. As far as I know, no one else has ever done this. The results are surprising.
Valuing the Nasdaq 100Based on our analyst fair value estimates for each company, the Nasdaq 100 Index is about 5% overvalued right now. However, there is a lot of variation within the index. Many stocks are undervalued, while quite a few are dramatically overvalued. Here's the methodology I used to come up with this valuation.

First, I downloaded the names and tickers for each of the 100 companies in the index from Morningstar's database. I expelled from the list the seven companies we don't cover: Patterson (NasdaqNM:PDCO - News), PanAmSat (NasdaqNM:SPOT - News), Dentsply International (NasdaqNM:XRAY - News), Invitrogen (NasdaqNM:IVGN - News), Cephalon (NasdaqNM:CEPH - News), Compuware (NasdaqNM:CPWR - News), and Kmart (NasdaqNM:KMRT - News).

Next, I consulted Nasdaq.com to get the most recent index weightings of each of the remaining 93 companies as of Aug. 27. The stocks within the index are mostly weighted by market cap, though there are some inconsistencies. Yahoo (NasdaqNM:YHOO - News), for example, is weighted behind several smaller companies--I'm not sure why, but I assume this was a conscious decision by the committee that manages the index. Microsoft (NasdaqNM:MSFT - News) has the largest weighting, at 9.04%, and First Health Group (NasdaqNM:FHCC - News) the smallest, at 0.13%. The 93 stocks we cover comprise a little more than 98% of the index weighting. The seven stocks we don't cover make up the remainder.

After compiling this 93-company list, I downloaded price, fair value, and other relevant data from Morningstar.com. I calculated the premium/(discount) to fair value for each stock, based on the price and fair value of each as listed on Morningstar.com as of Aug. 30. I then sorted the list of stocks by percentage weighting in the index, with Microsoft at the top and First Health at the bottom.

Finally, I broke this list into four groups based on percentage weightings within the index: 1 through 10, 11 through 20, 21 through 30, and 31 through 93. By doing this, I was able to get valuation results for different subgroups within the index, based on market cap.

Click www.morningstar.com/goto/115584 to access the table.
ResultsAs you can see, the top 10 weighted stocks in the index are high-quality companies: Microsoft, Qualcomm (NasdaqNM:QCOM - News), Intel (NasdaqNM:INTC - News), Cisco Systems (NasdaqNM:CSCO - News), eBay (NasdaqNM:EBAY - News), Amgen (NasdaqNM:AMGN - News), Dell (NasdaqNM:DELL - News), Nextel (NasdaqNM:NXTL - News), Comcast (NasdaqNM:CMCSA - News), and Starbucks (NasdaqNM:SBUX - News). Morningstar rates eight of these 10 companies as "wide moat"; Starbucks and Nextel are rated narrow moat. These 10 make up about 41% of the index weighting. They are about 3% overvalued, according to our fair value estimates for each stock, and their average Morningstar rating is 2.8, which is essentially a "hold" rating. Two of these companies are rated 1 star, one is rated 2 stars, four are rated 3 stars, and three are rated 4 stars. None is rated 5 stars (strong buy).

This is not a good time to buy the top-weighted stocks in the index, but it's not a great time to sell them, either. Hedge fund managers who are placing bets against the Nasdaq 100 are essentially shorting a group of wide-moat, high-quality companies that are about fairly valued, by our estimates. This doesn't sound like a great strategy to me, given that a lot of individual stocks are overvalued by far more than the aggregate index.
The next group of 10 stocks, weighted 11 to 20, does raise some red flags, however. On average, these stocks are about 14% overvalued. Apple Computer (NasdaqNM:AAPL - News), at 55% above its fair value estimate, is the most overvalued stock in the group. On the opposite end of the spectrum, InterActiveCorp (NasdaqNM:IACI - News) is 42% below fair value. Six of these 10 stocks are rated 1 star, none is rated 2 stars, two are rated 3 stars, one is rated 4 stars, and one (InterActive) is rated 5 stars. On average, the star ratings of this group of 10 stocks, which comprise 16% of the index, is 2.2, right between a sell and a hold rating. If you want to short stocks in the Nasdaq 100, this group of 10 are the best candidates.

The next group of 10, ranked 21 to 30 in terms of percentage weighting in the index, is overvalued by just 2%, with an average star rating of 2.9. This group makes up about 12% of the aggregate index weighting. At the extremes within this group, Research in Motion (NasdaqNM:RIMM - News) is overvalued by 54%, while Apollo Group (NasdaqNM:APOL - News) is undervalued by 29%, based on our DCF models.
The final group of 63 stocks makes up a 29% weighting in the index. This group is overvalued by about 4%, by our estimates, with an average star rating of 2.8. Again, not a buy, but not a sell, either.

Using a weighted average for the whole index, the Nasdaq 100 is overvalued by about 5.0%, according to Morningstar estimates of individual firm values. According to us, the index is a hold. Further, when I sorted the whole list in descending order by ratio of price to fair value, I found that the median stock (Altera (NasdaqNM:ALTR - News)) is almost exactly at fair value.

For a sense of historical perspective, in early October 2002, our fair value estimates put the median stock on the Nasdaq exchange at about 24% undervalued (though at the time we didn't cover as many stocks as we do today). Since then, the index has risen 51%. In February 2004, the median stock on the index was 29% overvalued, by our estimates. Since then, the Nasdaq has fallen by 12%. Here's a historical graph of our price/fair value ratios since late 2001.

More Traditional Valuation MetricsI also duplicated the analysis above using shorthand valuation metrics such as P/E ratio, price/book, PEG, price/cash flow, etc. By looking at the same groups of stocks through a different lens, I got a different, more bearish, picture.

This analysis would seem to show that the stocks in the Nasdaq 100 are dramatically overvalued. This is particularly true of the smaller companies in the index. The smallest 63 companies have a weighted-average forward P/E ratio of 52, and a trailing price/cash flow ratio of 45. This is very high by any historical standard. Even the top group of stocks, the largest companies, seem dramatically overvalued using shorthand valuation metrics. This data is what the pundits point to when they write articles about the dramatic overvaluation of the Nasdaq, and what hedge fund managers cite to justify shorting the Nasdaq 100.

Unfortunately, the stocks with the highest weighting in the index also have the lowest valuations. This means that shorting the Nasdaq 100, in aggregate, seems illogical. Why not short the smaller stocks only--those that are the most overvalued? Even the smaller stocks in the index are liquid enough for most funds to get in and out of easily.
DCF vs. ShortcutsThe conclusion boils down to this: Which do you believe more, DCF models on individual companies that are developed by analysts with no conflicts of interest who specialize in their respective industries or shorthand methods of valuation that are prone to GAAP accounting distortions and focus on the very short-term future or the trailing 12 months?

For my money, I'll take the discounted cash-flow valuation methodology every time. I believe it shows a more robust picture that is consistent with economic reality. The Nasdaq isn't a sell right now, it's a hold.
This in no way means that the index can't decline further--in the short-term, price and fair value can diverge dramatically--but betting on a dramatic pullback does not seem to be logical unless you feel comfortable making a short-term market call based on nonfundamental factors.

Wishful thinking?

H.S. Dent Publishing: Stock Market Rally Ahead; Leading Indicators Point to Economic Recovery, Stable Interest Rates, and Lower Oil Prices DALLAS--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 1, 2004--The stock market rally has begun. As the economy continues to recover, investors are once again seeking profits on Wall Street. According to the September issue of the H.S. Dent Forecast newsletter, recent stock market gains have been lackluster as the major indices -- NASDAQ, Dow Jones and Standard & Poor's -- have climbed steadily after hitting bottom on Friday the 13th.

So far, the stock market rally has been weak due to anemic stock volume on NASDAQ and the New York Stock Exchange. However, in spite of concerns regarding semiconductor and technology stocks, NASDAQ is starting to show the first signs of a rally. The Dow and S&P are also positioned to climb higher as the economy strengthens.

"The Weekly Leading Index appears to have bottomed, and should move back into a normal growth rate of four to six percent," said Harry S. Dent, Jr., president and founder of the H.S. Dent Foundation. "This is good news. Since the index has about an eight month lead time, we should see strong economic growth and a significant rally in the equity markets during the second quarter 2005."

"Current trends continue to point to late 2004 as the last great buying opportunity before The Next Great Bubble Boom occurs, which is discussed in our new book due out later this month," said Dent.

Oil prices continue to concern investors. "Expectations of oil prices are all over the map," said Dent. "However, prices should fall as long as supplies remain fairly steady." Why? Because, the price of oil appears to be at the upper end of the price range and demand is starting to decline for a number of reasons. The U.S. driving season comes to a close this month, as children return to school. In addition, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) of the United States has been building domestic oil reserves. Projections indicate the SPR should be full within 6 months. In addition, the incredible growth of China has been fueling oil consumption for the past five years. Yet, earlier this summer the Chinese government tightened credit restrictions which are expected to slow the rate of growth in demand for oil in China. Considering these factors, and barring any acts of terrorism or supply interruption, prices should trend down.

As we have predicted for some time, interest rates appear to be moderating -- despite the fact that the Federal Reserve has been raising rates at a "measured pace." After a run up to almost 4.8 percent early in 2004, the 10-year Treasury bond has settled back to around 4.2 percent -- a lower rate than these same bonds were trading at the beginning of the year. This phenomenon is the bond market signaling inflation is stable, so interest rates will remain low according to Dent.

Moving into the third quarter, the markets have continued to give weak signals, even though stocks appeared to hit bottom in mid-August. "During September, we expect the markets will continue their current rallies as we move closer to the next great bubble boom expected to start later this year," said Dent.

About H.S. Dent Publishing
H.S. Dent Publishing (www.hsdent.com) of Allen, Texas helps people understand change and prepare for its arrival through a variety of Dent publications, including the monthly H.S. Dent Forecast. The Dent methodology, which is based on the study of demographics, or the study of whole populations and their spending habits, takes financial forecasting out of the world of theory and into the realm of real-world consumer behavior allowing investors to make intelligent and informed economic decisions about their future.

Contacts
Michael A. Burns & Associates, Inc.H.S. Dent Publishing Media ContactMichael Burns, 214-521-8596mburns@mbapr.comorVirginia Stuart, 214-521-8596vstuart@mbapr

Undervalued Sports Properties?

Team Sports Entertainment Signs Letter of Intent to Acquire Idea Management GroupWednesday September 1, 1:52 pm ET

DALLAS--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 1, 2004--Team Sports Entertainment, Inc. (TSPT), announced today that it has reached an agreement and entered into a non-binding Letter of Intent to acquire Idea Management Group, Inc. Based on the completion of required security-related filings and agreed-upon due diligence, it is anticipated that the acquisition will be completed by September 15, 2004.

William C. Morris, Chairman & CEO of Idea Management Group commented, "We are extremely excited about the upcoming acquisition by Team Sports Entertainment. This relationship will allow us a financial platform that will enable us to meet our anticipated growth needs".

About Team Sports Entertainment, Inc.

Team Sports Entertainment, Inc. is a sports and entertainment marketing and management company dedicated to developing undervalued sports and entertainment properties and discovering niche opportunities to serve underdeveloped market segments.

About Idea Management Group Inc.

Corporately based in Lake City, South Carolina, with regional offices in Charlotte, NC, New York, NY, and Atlanta, GA, Idea Management Group Inc. is a creator and developer of entertainment content focusing on sports and general entertainment properties. Its current project base includes motion pictures, television, publishing, sports properties, licensed merchandise, and direct-to-retail videos.

Contact: Idea Management Group, Inc.
Jim McKinney or Camala Osborne, 843-374-4332;
843-374-5565 (fax); info@ideamanagementgroup.com
Investor Relations:
investorrelations@ideamanagementgroup.com
Source: Team Sports Entertainment, Inc.